UFO Conjectures

Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Predictive Analysis [Redux]


Predictive analysis or Predictive analytics is being using by police agencies to determine crime patterns, telling them when and where the next crimes will appear.

PA has been used for marketing purposes and by insurance companies to examine trends to sharpen business results.

Wikepedia gives a cogent summary of PA. Click HERE to access it.

And click HERE to grab a white paper (PDF) about Predictive Analytics.

The method seems ideally suited to UFO researchers who might want to know when and where the next UFO sighting or sightings will take place.

PA tools are not difficult to master or use. Not to employ the methodology seems remiss to me.



  • I have been puzzled why UFO buffs cite thousands of sightings yet make no attempt to analyse this data to determine probable take-off and landing points of the objects.
    Mr. Sheaffer told me this was tried in the distant past but nothing like it seems to be happening now. I know Betty Hill tried this on her own, but curiously ufology treated her like a kook for doing so (her execution was dubious but the idea was sound).
    I presume these days ufology is more interested in stories than science.

    By Blogger Terry the Censor, at Monday, September 03, 2012  

  • Yes, Terry,

    As you well know, story telling and story repeating have replaced actual research.

    Despite what some UFO people think or thought of Betty Hill, she was a smart woman, and properly curious.


    By Blogger RRRGroup, at Monday, September 03, 2012  

  • I rather liked her book "A Common Sense Approach to UFOs." It was by turns wild and critical -- and very much the thoughts of an individual.
    (Much different than the potted accounts carefully shaped by so-called abduction investigators.)

    By Blogger Terry the Censor, at Monday, September 03, 2012  

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