UFO Conjectures

Friday, February 19, 2021


[N.B. My pal and colleague Jose Caravaca sent this for publication here. I was hesitant because I'm getting iffier and iffier about anything related to Robert Bigelow. But Jose told me the Bigelow inserts were used ironically, to make the point of his commentary...so there it is.]

Copyright 2021, Jose Antonio Caravaca 

That the multimillionaire Robert Bigelow has invested a lot of time, money and human resources to investigate the UFO phenomenon has been universally reported.

That his intentions have been genuine is also generally undisputed. That he has been working with specialists, experts, and analysts from different scientific branches show that he has approached the problem seriously.

But it is another thing to be sure that the millions employed for these studies and the effort of so many years have offered some substantial advance for ufology. At least they have never made any major discoveries public. It did not do it in the NIDS (National Institute for Discovery Science. 1995/2004), nor does it seem that the famous AAWSAP (Advanced Aerospace Weapon Systems Applications Program. 2007/2011) has achieved it.

What does this mean? Well, either their investigations have not been well advised to obtain evidence, which would result in a very poor management of money and personnel, or, on the contrary, we can extract an important reflection: The UFO phenomenon remains tremendously elusive to any kind of scientific approach, which would indicate that its nature obeys to really puzzling parameters for our science.

And the fact that at this point any type of study undertaken to clarify this paradigm is limited to confirming its existence is evidence of the extreme complexity of the UFO enigma. Therefore, should we consider that the main conclusion of all these analyses is that the UFO phenomenon, whatever it may be, is currently unapproachable by the scientific method?



  • Jose' as usual is brilliant, in his commentary about the current Ufological status. For those who have read Vallee (specially the Forbidden Science volumes) the Ufological scene is quite clear. The methodology applied to the phenomenon was never optimized in terms of the scientific tools we have at our disposal today.

    The demonstrate better this idea, the more science-oriented readers can check this scientific paper by Kevin Knuth (Estimating Flight Characteristics of Anomalous Unidentified Aerial Vehicles) dealing with the properties of the 2004 tik-tok UFO. https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/21/10/939

    As a reminder, Jacques Vallee is coming out (May 2021) with a book detailing the analyses of fragments derived from unknown craft.

    So what is the common denominator here? A different style of scientific approach .. The Scientific method can lead to somewhere or to nowhere .. depends who conducts the endeavor ..

    By Blogger Stavrosh, at Friday, February 19, 2021  

  • Stavrosh... Thank you very much for your comment... There are probably many more possibilities within scientific research that perhaps are not being considered, or valued as feasible for this approach to the UFO phenomenon.

    By Blogger jacaravaca, at Friday, February 19, 2021  

  • Greetings,

    There are tons of UFOs cases when investigating by the scientific method which became identified/solved. Same for murders, kidnappings, rapes, vehicule crashes, forest fires, our domestic devices out, etc., cases. There remains statisticaly murders, kidnappings, rapes... unsolved cases. As for ufo cases. What else? It is not a surprise for any statistics.

    The reasons they remains unsolved are prosaic too: lack of dataes, lack of luck, bad investigation, etc.

    Or I suppose in regard to my analogy, the same who claim UFO Phenomenon is incomprehensible by the scientific method will claim that murders, rapes, kidnappings, vehicule crashes, domestic incidents, forest fires, etc. cases are incromprehensible by the scientific method because its remains not solved of such cases? :p Absurb.

    My very best regards,

    Gilles Fernandez

    By Blogger Gilles Fernandez, at Thursday, February 25, 2021  

  • "The reasons they remains unsolved are prosaic too: lack of dataes, lack of luck, bad investigation, etc."

    The unsubstantiated opinion of a closed-minded UFO skeptic, twisting reality to fit his faith-based preconceptions. The truth is, a number of studies have concluded that the unknowns remaining after thorough investigation are not that because of any lack of data. Bad luck, bad investigations? Furnish some evidence of this.

    By Blogger David Lunt, at Friday, February 26, 2021  

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